Heat vs. Hornets Predictions, Odds & Stats – Oct. 28

Miami Heat v Houston Rockets

Photo: Alex Slitz / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

Southeast Division opponents square off when the Miami Heat (2-1) host the Charlotte Hornets (2-1) at Kaseya Center, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 28, 2025. The Hornets are 5.5-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.

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Heat vs. Hornets Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final result of Heat 124, Hornets 123.

  • Moneyline Pick: Heat (-219)
  • Total Pick: Over 240.5 (computer predicts 246.5 points)
  • Pick ATS: Hornets (+5.5)

Recent Heat vs. Hornets Matchups

Heat vs Hornets (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
3/23/2025 Heat -7.5 214.5 -292 +236 122-105 MIA
3/10/2025 Heat -9.5 217 -420 +326 105-102 CHA
11/27/2024 Heat -4 218.5 -172 +144 98-94 MIA
10/26/2024 Heat -5.5 223 -246 +199 114-106 MIA

Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, Miami was 38-41-3 last year.
  • The Heat had an ATS record of 12-9-1 as 5.5-point favorites or more last year.
  • There were 44 Miami games (out of 82) that hit the over last year.
  • The Heat won 58.7% of the games last season in which they were favored on the moneyline (27-19).
  • When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -219 or shorter last year, Miami finished with a record of 15-6 (71.4%).

Hornets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Charlotte went 37-42-3 ATS last season.
  • Against the spread, as underdogs of 5.5 points or more, the Hornets went 25-27-1 last season.
  • Charlotte's games went over the point total 33 out of 82 times last year.
  • The Hornets were underdogs 73 times last season and won 16, or 21.9%, of those games.
  • Charlotte had a record of 7-46, a 13.2% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +180 or more by bookmakers last season.

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Heat vs. Hornets Injury Report

Heat

Heat:

Tyler Herro: Out (Ankle),

Kasparas Jakucionis: Out (Groin),

Simone Fontecchio: Day-To-Day (Calf)

Hornets

Hornets:

Grant Williams: Day-To-Day (Acl),

Josh Green: Day-To-Day (Shoulder),

Brandon Miller: Out (Shoulder),

Tre Mann: Questionable (Jaw)

Heat vs. Hornets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Tuesday, October 28, 2025
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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